A Real Economy publication

Retail and restaurant industry outlook

Jun 28, 2024

Retail and restaurant industry outlook: Key takeaways

Expect 2% to 3% annual sales growth this year from the retail and restaurant sectors, with similar inflation.

Businesses require automation and strong operating margins to achieve scale.

growth chart

The resilience demonstrated by consumers, bolstered by a robust labor market, is a trend likely to endure.

Retail and restaurants sector trend #1: Embrace strategy amid rising tide of consumer spending

Automation can streamline operations, reduce costs, and improve service delivery

In 2024, the retail and restaurant sectors are poised for an annual sales growth of 2% to 3%, aligned with the projected inflation rate. To thrive in this competitive landscape, businesses must focus on automation and maintaining strong operating margins to achieve scalability. The integration of smart technology is essential to meet rising consumer expectations and enhance operational efficiency. Retailers and restaurants need to invest strategically in these areas to leverage the increasing consumer spending.

Automation can streamline operations, reduce costs, and improve service delivery, while strong operating margins ensure financial stability and the capacity to invest in growth opportunities. Smart technology, including advanced data analytics and personalized customer engagement tools, helps businesses stay ahead of consumer trends and preferences.

To capitalize on these opportunities, the retail and restaurant sectors must embrace innovative strategies and technologies. This approach will enable them to adapt to market dynamics, sustain growth, and maintain a competitive edge in a rapidly evolving economic environment. By focusing on efficiency and consumer-centric technologies, these industries can navigate the challenges and leverage the potential of increased consumer spending effectively.


Retail and restaurants sector trend #2: Cautious optimism

Retailers and restaurants chart course amid economic upsurge and labor challenges in 2024

Amidst signs of economic strength and rising consumer optimism, retailers and restaurants are cautiously optimistic as they approach 2024. Despite expectations of soft demand, retail sales continue to show growth, buoyed by a surge in real income and heightened consumer sentiment. To capitalize on this optimism, executives are prioritizing expansion strategies, focusing on new store growth to enter new markets and enhance brand visibility across various sales channels.

However, as businesses pursue growth, they face significant challenges, including the high cost of capital and a tight labor market. With interest rates rising above inflation levels, executives must adopt a conservative approach to growth strategies, emphasizing accuracy and data-driven decision-making. The tight labor market, with unemployment rates at historic lows, necessitates a focus on both employee retention and productivity enhancement.

To navigate these challenges, companies are turning to unified commerce solutions, leveraging technology to provide seamless customer experiences across all sales channels. 

RSM contributors

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