RSM US Middle Market Business Index
First-of-its-kind index fills gap for middle market-focused economic research
Introducing the RSM US Middle Market Business Index
In this podcast listen to RSM Chief Economist Joe Brusuelas discuss the newly-launched RSM Middle Market Business Index (MMBI) – a first-of-its-kind economic index designed to accurately reflect business conditions in the middle market. Developed in partnership with Moody’s Analytics, the MMBI is the culmination of 18 months of primary research via our Middle Market Leadership Council, a representative panel of 700 middle market executives managed by Nielsen.
The RSM Middle Market Business Index (MMBI), developed in partnership with Moody’s Analytics, is designed to accurately reflect business conditions in the U.S. middle market, while providing a statistically significant measure of the health and outlook for these businesses. Going forward, the MMBI will serve as a leading indicator for the middle market (the real economy), a vital segment of the U.S. economy that represents more than 200,000 firms, 40 million jobs and one-third of private sector gross receipts.
Until now, there has been no comprehensive index for the middle market. RSM’s investment in the RSM Middle Market Business Index reflects our steadfast commitment to the middle market and our belief that a deeper understanding of these businesses by policymakers and the broader business community will lead to positive outcomes for the entire economy.
The inaugural edition of the index puts U.S. Middle Market business conditions at 116.6 in the first quarter of 2016, a 1.4 percent uptick from the fourth quarter of 2015:
The MMBI is a culmination of more than five quarters of primary research and analysis via RSM’s Middle Market Leadership Council, quarterly surveys of a panel of 700 middle market executives managed by Nielsen. The MMBI is based on a subset of 20 questions from these surveys that are aimed at measuring changes in key performance indicators such as: revenues, profits, capital expenditures, hiring, employee compensation, prices received, prices paid and inventories as well as questions on general economic sentiment and corporate financing. Since RSM began surveying the middle market to develop the MMBI in Q2 2015, the index has shown promise that it can become a leading indicator for hiring, revenues and productivity once more time series data is collected.
The RSM Middle Market Business Index provides a critical and never-before-seen view into the past, present and future of the Real Economy. At RSM, we’re seeing a market segment that’s optimistic about the direction of the real economy and a more confident U.S. consumer. What’s more, MMBI data and other research indicate that the major U.S equity indices are no longer indicative of real economic activity in the U.S
RSM plans to publish updated MMBI data quarterly, and will use data and insights from each report to consult and advise middle market executives on a range of important business issues and growth initiatives. A comprehensive report on other business issues about which RSM has queried the panel over the last five quarters will be shared in April.
An easing pandemic in August and a late-summer stabilization in overall economic activity were the catalysts behind the MMBI increase.
RSM recently asked executives about their reopening considerations following pandemic-related pullbacks and shutdowns.
Given that the pandemic has forced closures of many U.S. hotels, occupancy rates are not providing the full picture of distress.
The condition of small and medium-size firms implies a potential inflection point in the nascent economic rebound.
The MMBI declined in July as midsize businesses remain mired in recession amid pandemic-related pauses, pullbacks and shutdowns.