The Real Economy: September 2026

The cost of rising government debt

Global investors push up long-term Treasury yields amid rising government debt

Rising government debt has pushed long-term yields higher and is increasing borrowing costs for businesses.

Expansionary fiscal policies and continued debt accumulation have been increasing risk premiums and capital costs for middle market businesses, as well as putting upward pressure on mortgage rates.

Still, the underlying fundamentals of the economy are strong, despite slowing gross domestic product in the second quarter. With the artificial intelligence build-out showing no signs of slowing down, and fiscal policies providing a strong tailwind, the economy is poised to continue its strong growth. The full discussion is in our latest issue of The Real Economy.

Also in this issue, we offer guidance for middle market businesses in navigating the K-shaped economy, where higher-income consumers are thriving while lower-income consumers struggle.

Just how much debt is sustainable appears to be moving to the center of the global economic discussion.
Joe Brusuelas, Chief Economist, RSM US

Finally, in our Market Minute series, we analyze the intervention by the United States and Japan to prop up the yen, and look at the reasons why baby boomers and Gen X are leaving the labor force.

Read our global team’s analysis of these topics in the latest edition of The Real Economy.


Inside the September issue


Meet our economics team
Committed to understanding and decoding the middle market economy

Subscribe to RSM's economic insights

Timely economic analysis and trends to help middle market businesses succeed

RSM US MMBI Special Report: Workforce 2026

Businesses navigate labor challenges, investment priorities in a shifting market

A survey of 405 senior executives provides insight into hiring needs, implications of artificial intelligence and solutions companies can use to adapt to staffing challenges.