The Real Economy: October 2025

Middle market firms increasingly look to alternative sources of financial data

Recent concerns about the reliability of economic data from federal agencies are leading many businesses to rely on private label economic data, writes RSM US Chief Economist Joe Brusuelas in the October issue of The Real Economy.

The concerns about data from federal agencies stem in part from lagging response times in government surveys, particularly in the monthly jobs data, which have led to substantial revisions months later.

Also in this issue, Brusuelas looks at the impact of the U.S. Treasury’s decision to favor short-term Treasury bills over long-term notes as a way to finance the debt. While it reduces interest payments on the government’s expanding debt, it also is creating a liquidity squeeze in the money markets.

Amid all these changes, financial conditions remain resilient in the American economy, Brusuelas writes, with the RSM US Financial Conditions Index showing a moderate level of accommodation in the financial markets.

The American economy continues to show resilience: Growth is near its potential, unemployment is still low at 4.3%, inflation is rising but under control, and financial conditions remain conducive for investment.
Joe Brusuelas, Chief Economist, RSM US LLP

Finally, in our Market Minute series, Brusuelas looks at a global economy in transition, from U.S. oil producers facing global supply headwinds to falling heavy truck sales to the Fed’s recent 25-basis-point rate cut.

Read our analysis of these topics in the latest edition of The Real Economy.

Inside the October issue

RSM contributors

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An economy in transition

Join RSM US Chief Economist Joe Brusuelas and U.S. Chamber of Commerce Executive Vice President Neil Bradley as they discuss the impact of policy, tariffs, the global economy and more on middle market businesses. Get key insights on what companies should anticipate in the coming months.

Recoded Sept. 23, 2025

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