United States

The Real Economy: Volume 46

Holiday spending should be robust (with an asterisk)

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Favorable employment and income dynamics in the U.S. economy should result in robust holiday spending, with a sales increase well above the rise posted in 2017. We expect an increase to $735.5 billion from the $691.9 billion mark a year ago. However, the primary catalyst for our optimistic forecast is increased spending to avoid higher tariff-driven prices, and there is evidence that accelerated spending has already begun.

In this issue of The Real Economy, we explore this topic and more, including federal funds rate hikes, NAFTA modernization and tariff challenges for middle market consumer and industrial products companies. Download the full report.

IN THIS ISSUE

Holiday spending should be robust (with an asterisk)

Holiday spending should be robust (with an asterisk)

Favorable employment and income dynamics in the U.S. economy should result in a robust period of holiday spending this year.

FOMC comment: Shaping market expectations for a December rate hike

FOMC comment: Shaping market expectations for a December rate hike

The FOMC has increased the target range for the federal funds rate, signaling a more restrictive policy in the future.

NAFTA modernization: A mixed bag for the middle market

NAFTA modernization: A mixed bag for the middle market

The United States-Mexico-Canada Trade agreement (USMCA) includes an important chapter on small and medium-size enterprises.

Tariffs by the numbers

Tariffs by the numbers

Barring a resolution with China, tariffs will increase in the near future. Learn how tariff effects will vary widely from state to state.

How tariffs are affecting consumer and industrial products companies

How tariffs are affecting consumer and industrial products companies

Tariffs are presenting challenges and opportunities for consumer and industrial products companies. Learn how they're responding.

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