The Real Economy: March 2026

Managing complexity: A renewed imperative for the middle market

Executives must look to enterprise value roadmaps as they manage an increasingly complex operating environment

U.S. businesses have become vastly more complex since the financial crisis, writes RSM US Senior Director Scott Reamer in the March issue of The Real Economy.

The technological changes alone have been significant, to say nothing of the macroeconomic, regulatory and capital market changes that middle market businesses have endured.

While running a business has always been difficult, the operating complexity necessary to run a successful middle market firm has increased significantly, Reamer writes. This complexity strains people, tech, data and processes across organizations. Executives must build and monitor enterprise value roadmaps, he adds, to manage complexity and allocate capital wisely.

Also in this issue, RSM US Chief Economist Joseph Brusuelas forecasts that the Fed will cut its policy rate once this year by a quarter point, likely in July or September. In his base case, expansionary fiscal policy will support robust spending and business expansion, with inflation around 3% and unemployment stabilizing near 4.4%.

The Federal Open Market Committee’s decision at its last meeting to hold its policy rate at 3.5% to 3.75% reflects uncertainty regarding the impact of tariffs on inflation and a softening labor market. Financial markets retained much of the same sentiment, with the forward markets expecting the Fed to wait at least until its July meeting to enact another rate cut.
Joe Brusuelas, Chief Economist, RSM US LLP

Finally, Peter Cadigan looks at the key themes shaping the future of consumer businesses and Mike Graziano examines the deal activity for consumer products companies in 2025.

We look at these topics and more in this issue of The Real Economy.


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The Real Economy Blog was developed to provide timely economic insights about the middle market economy. It is offered as a complement to RSM’s macroeconomic thought leadership, including The Real Economy monthly publication and the proprietary RSM US Middle Market Business Index (MMBI).

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