The Real Economy: January 2026

Rising debt, deficits and the risks to growth

The rise of the federal budget deficit poses risks to the economy

The rise in U.S. federal government debt is having significant implications for financial markets, leading to higher interest rates, slower growth and long-term economic instability, RSM US Chief Economist Joe Brusuelas writes in the January issue of The Real Economy.

The United States is borrowing roughly $7 billion per day to finance its operations, with the deficit heading toward $2 trillion this fiscal year, according to the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget. And it is only going to increase as expansionary fiscal policies take effect in the new year, Brusuelas notes. In addition, even with investors willing to finance the debt, the U.S. primary budget deficit, excluding interest, has reached 3.78% of gross domestic product.

Furthermore, because the American dollar is the global reserve currency, the price of money in global markets will be affected by the trajectory of U.S. borrowing, which as it increases, he adds, will raise financing costs for American households and businesses.

Because the American dollar is the global reserve currency, the price of money in global markets will be affected by the trajectory of U.S. borrowing.
Joe Brusuelas, Chief Economist, RSM US LLP

We look at these topics and more in this issue of The Real Economy.


Inside the January issue

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Inflation, global growth challenges and the middle market

RSM US Chief Economist Joe Brusuelas and U.S. Chamber of Commerce Executive Vice President Neil Bradley discuss how persistent inflation and a challenging global economy are reshaping the business landscape.

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